Though “microtrend” is becoming a buzzword, those of us in the direct marketing industry know that dividing people into small segments (and targeting them accordingly) is nothing new. In fact, The Clustering of America, first published in 1988, was an antecedent to current bestseller Microtrends: The Small Forces Behind Tomorrow’s Big Changes.
The green movement, which started as a microtrend, has been undeniably upgraded to macro trend. With Al Gore recently winning a Nobel Prize to add to his Oscar and other accolades, this trend is now at its apex. So I want to be the first to predict a new microtrend: greenetically incorrect.
When “political correctness” became trendy in the early 90’s, it didn’t take long for parodies to appear. Books like The Official Politically Correct Dictionary and Handbook appeared, along with mainstream comedic satire, and of course Bill Maher’s infamous TV show “Politically Incorrect”.
Green is ripe for a ribbing. I think because many comedians and entertainers have a tendency to be left leaning, it could take a little time, but it will happen eventually – give it four to six months.
Is this bad for the green agenda? Actually, I think it’ll be a positive sign, kind of the way you know you’ve made it in the entertainment business if you get made fun of on Saturday Night Live. They’re not writing sketches about Z-list celebrities… or issues. Green is now firmly in the A list.
Here’s what I see happening in the greenetically incorrect microtrend:
· Rise of popular greenetically incorrect blog(s) and/or web site(s)
· “Breakthrough” comedian gets noticed through controversial greenetically incorrect comments or material in his/her act
· Greenetically incorrect clusters begin getting recognized by marketers
The greenetically incorrect clusters could include:
· Green Coats: those that want to appear green to their peers, but take no individual green actions
· Green Neutrals: those that don’t care about green issues at all
· Greenetically Incorrect: those that flaunt their non-green behaviors – Land Rovers, private jets and short-haul flights, one-block taxi rides, etc. Their “I’m above being green” attitude is a social currency with peers.
Marketers will target the greenetically incorrect for luxury brands, as these Carbon-intensive activities indicate wealth.
While this may seem cynical, direct marketers are practical and results driven – we are there to analyze behavior and target accordingly, not judge it. For instance the marketing campaign around one major charitable initiative that launched last year to support a global A-list celebrity’s cause was all based on targeting consumers who the agency labeled something akin to “Cappuccino Committors”. According to the agency, the ideal target for this new brand was people who care about the cause and want to do something to help… as long as it fit into their normal behaviors, didn’t interfere with their lives and didn’t cost extra.
So to recap, this is how I see this trend evolving:
1. Pro-green targeting (already happening)
2. Green crescendo (in progress)
3. Green parody
4. Non-Green targeting (e.g. Greencoat, Green Neutral and Greenetically Incorrect)